Demand-side seasons
Q4 typically sees firmness from Indian Diwali and wedding-season buying. Q1 often gets Chinese New Year demand. Q3 summer doldrums historically run softer in Western trading.
Precious metals intelligence
Gold shows mild seasonal tendencies driven by Asian physical demand and Western trading cycles. The patterns are real but small relative to macro drivers.
Q4 typically sees firmness from Indian Diwali and wedding-season buying. Q1 often gets Chinese New Year demand. Q3 summer doldrums historically run softer in Western trading.
Seasonality does not override macro. A Fed pivot, real-yield move, or geopolitical shock will dominate any seasonal tendency. Trade seasonality as a tiebreaker, not a thesis.
Layer seasonal context onto a primary setup. Buying weakness in summer can be more comfortable when the macro setup is constructive; selling strength in Q4 deserves more justification because demand support is structural.
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