Pause to cut
When the Fed signals a transition from hiking pause to rate cuts, real yields typically fall and the dollar softens. Gold tends to outperform during this window.
Precious metals intelligence
Fed Pivot and Gold
Fed policy pivots tend to be among the larger directional drivers of gold price across multi-month windows.
First cut
Historically the first rate cut in a cycle is not the strongest gold catalyst because much is priced in. The path of subsequent cuts and inflation data matters more.
Easing extension
Sustained easing combined with sticky inflation has historically produced the strongest gold moves because real yields stay pressured for longer.
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